Racing & Sports Canberra Racing Preview Friday 7 August 2020

The track is a soft 5 on Thursday but there is rain — possibly heavy — forecast for raceday and keep a close eye on that. The Rail is out 7m the entire. It looks a good betting program.

 

Race 1 (2000m) CL1 SW

 

There's a lack of early pace and Cosmic King may step-up and lead. COSMIC KING (2) wasn't beaten far here at the mile two weeks ago and third-up the middle distance is sure to suit the Sydney galloper. He gets the rail and is likely to use it. Expect him to make quick improvement. DUCLAIR (3) also represents a leading Sydney yard and was better up to this distance range at Goulburn. Penza will give him a soft run from the low gate and he can make the finish racing at peak. CLUB LEGEND (5) has just missed the last two in Maidens and there was nothing in it at provincial level last time. He's on the quick return and expect the form to stack up. CELEBRATOR (1) was knocking on the door in 58s before being out-graded at Rosehill at 150-1. He's back 400m and can make the first-four. BET: Backing # 2 Cosmic King to win.

 

Race 2 (1000m) Open 3

 

Of the ones we've seen Different Time and Jesta Diva will race forward. WAAFIYA (6) resumed at Canterbury off a Randwick trial win and didn't have much luck when just in the market. The well-bred filly will have taken fitness and learning from that effort and draws a low gate today with Penza booked. Team Snowden don't miss often in Canberra and she can add to the record. ARIZONA NIGHT (3) debuts for an in-form Sydney barn and has been well-trialled. She missed a nose at Warwick Farm the latest and is sure to race boldly. DIFFERENT TIME (5) won a Canberra trial and then was just okay placing at Leeton as favourite. She will push forward and is a local with more to offer. JESTA DIVA (8) improved sharply just missing here two weeks ago racing on-pace. He will be better for that and gets the chance to go one better. BET: Expecting # 6 Waafiya to take beating, but the market will be instructive generally.

 

Race 3 (1400m) Maiden

 

Jack The Brumby is likely to lead, possibly comfortably. JACK THE BRUMBY (1) couldn't have been more impressive beaten a lip here two weeks ago behind the Sydney-trained California August. He led and fought like a tiger after an awkward start and keeps getting better. He can deliver today for the Olive barn reaching peak fitness. UNLOCH THE ROCK (4) resumed as favourite at Goulburn and was only okay beaten 3.4L. She'd come off a nose defeat at Kembla Grange and that reads well for this. Expect the Sydney mare to make quick improvement. PHOTOGENIC (2) resumes off two city trials and has been a work in progress. It would be no surprise if he came back further improved and the market must be monitored closely. COSTA CHIN CHIN (7) had been tracking well before a disappointing effort when well-bet in the Dubbo mile. Expect the shorter trip to suit and can make the finish if he can avoid getting boxed-up from the rail. BET: Backing the promising # 1 Jack The Brumby to win.

 

Race 4 (1400m) CL1

 

Marsannay, Bro and Oriental Gift look the trio to run them along. MARSANNAY (6) led and was far too good for the Open 2s here two weeks ago and will be further improved. He runs along and can again control the race drawn the rail. The extra 200m shouldn't bother the well-bred Sydney colt and he can repeat. HIGH ADVICE (3) wasn't beaten far resuming at this level on the same day after a slow start. The Albury galloper has more to offer and can sit handier today. EMTHREE (2) peaks off a big Wyong Maiden win and had been threatening also at provincial level. That stacks right up, but he will need a good ride from the wide gate. LADY KIRKHAM (5) resumes off two city trials and races well in Canberra. She's up to this and has won first-up. She needs some luck pushing forward, but is certainly a market watch. BET: Expecting # 6 Marsannay to go on with it.

 

Race 5 (1200m) Maiden

 

A few of the raced can sit handy but it's speculative how the large field settles in the run. KOWLOON TREASURE (4) debuts off a string of trials stretching back to November. He just missed a recent one at Randwick and the Sydney galloper finds a winnable race to kick off in. He gets the sticky gate, but will manage that if the trials are any indication. CELESTIAL WARRIOR (2) is a former Victorian who will be much better for the first-up run for the local barn. He gets the winkers on first time and a form hoop is booked. He can win this at best and expect quick improvement. WILFUL SOUL (11) has missed a lip at Goulburn the last two and interestingly the Dryden-trained galloper has never raced at home. She a winning chance but the wide gate is against. MOHAHNA (5) resumes for the Olive yard and has placed 2/2 fresh. He draws to advantage and no surprise if he comes back much improved. Elevate of the money comes. BET: Backing # 4 Kowloon Treasure if the market reflects stable confidence.

 

Race 6 (1000m) BM60

 

Muzzleburst can lead the short sprint from The Inflamer and Mr Aloysius. CANYONERO (2) was just beaten here before the break. He just missed resuming at Goulburn in 66 grade as favourite when belting home from the back. Second-up he was heavily-bet at Hawkesbury in the CL1 and things didn't work out. He gets the blinkers again and can win finding his best and with a good ride. REDICON (7) resumes off the CL1 win at Queanbeyan and the Deep Field gelding owns a Canberra trial win. He draws to advantage and will be a serious player if presented on song. MR ALOYSIUS (6) resumes and is a speedster drawn the rail. The Olive galloper is sure to have come on and no surprise if he's right in the finish. FARTHING WOOD (4) comes back in grade and go on the 1.3L defeat here two-back, when she came hard after a slow off. She needs the speed on but certainly deserves plenty of consideration. BET: Looking to back # 2 Canyonero each way.

 

Race 7 (1600m) BM 70 Federal

 

Katie Did It can lead the Federal and Riot Act and Prince Jacko won't be far away. RIOT ACT (8) comes to peak seeking the hat-trick and has been winning comfortably from the pace. His figures stack right up and the promising galloper gets weight relief in this grade. He should make easy work of the tricky gate and rates the one to beat. WICHITA WARRIOR (6) was disappointing in town and then made a ratings spike winning the CL2 easily at Goulburn as the market expected. This is a step-up, but he's an improving local who will get every chance from the low gate. AWAY SHE GOES (7) powered home from the back winning first-up here at this level. The back-form is good and expect her to see out the mile this time around. CASINO TIME (11) won over a trip by space on the same day as favourite. He's never raced better and is a chance back to the mile given a good tempo. BET: Backing # 8 Riot Act to win.

 

Race 8 (1300m) BM65

 

A tricky race with Supplyzing the one to make the speed. GLAMOUR CAT (2) had been threatening in the city and then placed at Goulburn in a bit stronger than this after an awkward start. She will get a soft run from the rail and has the handy 2kg claim. She gets her chance today. SAY GOODBYE (12) won the CL1 here 14 days ago making a ratings spike. He will sit handier today and won't have to improve much to be a serious chance. FLORA BEL (7) peaks off the near-miss in the Federal behind Away She Goes and she was well-backed. She's ready to win but has to manage the weight rise and the wide gate. BRASH SAMMY (14) resumed here in the 65 and wasn't far away backed into favourite. He's an improver and gets Penza today. He looks up to this but will need a clever ride from an outside barrier. BET: Will look to back both # 2 Glamour Cat and # 12 Say Goodbye.